Ecological Archives A023-046-A6

Yan Boulanger, Sylvie Gauthier, David R. Gray, Héloïse Le Goff, Patrick Lefort, Jacques Morissette. 2013. Fire regime zonation under current and future climate over eastern Canada. Ecological Applications 23:904–923. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/12-0698.1

Appendix F. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 1961–1990, 2011–2040, 2041–2070 and 2071–2100 periods.

Table F1. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 1961–1990 period as predicted by Random Forests models. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned. More detailed information about fire characteristics observed within zones is also given.

Zone

Area (ha)

AAB*

Fire occurrence
(n. 100 kha-1·yr-1)*

Median Julian Day*

% area burned -lightning

% of fire ≥ 5000 ha

% of fire ≥ 25000 ha

% of fire ≥ 50 000 ha

2

3 845 569

1.953

0.079

177

94.1

41.8

23.9

16.4

1

1 502 846

1.646

0.185

180

87.7

29.9

14.9

6.0

21

2 880 000

1.025

0.068

184

88.2

42.2

15.6

4.4

11

7 461 728

0.871

0.142

173

90.1

23.2

6.1

2.7

5

7 200 000

0.658

0.083

174

88.4

28.8

10.0

3.8

17

5 040 000

0.604

0.106

171

97.6

24.4

4.4

1.5

12

9 720 000

0.301

0.058

170

65.2

14.2

4.5

2.6

10

1 546 417

0.222

0.086

166

5.6

5.6

0.0

0.0

16

36 607 678

0.128

0.030

173

62.7

18.4

2.9

0.4

3

4 503 924

0.115

0.034

147

23.1

6.9

0.0

0.0

13

38 740 137

0.109

0.021

183

93.8

15.7

4.7

2.6

19

21 006 982

0.075

0.028

167

23.8

3.1

0.0

0.0

4

2 160 000

0.070

0.044

221

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

9

2 880 000

0.069

0.030

196

61.4

12.5

6.3

0.0

15

8 711 218

0.069

0.026

178

70.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

6

11 198 472

0.065

0.020

193

93.4

8.3

2.1

0.0

18

4 369 261

0.051

0.029

161

1.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

7

8 524 814

0.035

0.019

160

47.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

8

4 202 506

0.028

0.006

207

87.7

20.0

0.0

0.0

14

2 516 348

0.027

0.012

149

65.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

20

2 355 511

0.022

0.004

198

100.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Total

186 973 410

0.235

0.039

176

79.0

18.8

5.5

2.4

* Predicted values according to the Random Forests models.

 

Table F2. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 2011–2040 period. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned.

 

Zone

AAB

Fire occurrence
(n. 100 kha-1·yr-1)

Median Julian Day

Area (ha)

2

1.469

0.077

179

3 054 220

6

1.353

0.167

170

3 396 303

14

0.864

0.057

186

7 366 919

1

0.667

0.106

173

8 556 962

9

0.548

0.067

178

10 657 737

15

0.385

0.071

168

9 360 000

5

0.329

0.041

187

8 136 026

20

0.247

0.046

171

7 200 000

17

0.172

0.023

192

17990 126

23

0.172

0.050

166

20 333 289

4

0.171

0.065

155

3 933 698

16

0.161

0.053

181

2 536 237

22

0.149

0.054

183

1 609 283

8

0.142

0.031

191

10 729 780

21

0.129

0.030

181

18 274 684

3

0.120

0.026

178

14 678 042

7

0.107

0.015

194

6 453 397

11

0.102

0.053

158

3 302 593

10

0.096

0.055

200

3 240 000

19

0.090

0.027

169

16 851 677

13

0.084

0.036

187

3 960 000

18

0.065

0.025

166

3 571 697

12

0.049

0.029

169

1 780 740

Total

0.279

0.046

178

186 973 410

 

Table F3. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 2041–2070 period. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned.

Zone

AAB

Fire occurrence
(n. 100 kha-1·yr-1)

Median Julian Day

Area (ha)

2

1.451

0.079

178

4 236 797

1

1.125

0.181

175

3 676 718

20

1.030

0.149

168

7 332 920

19

0.934

0.063

190

5 104 342

18

0.745

0.042

188

16 755 844

6

0.710

0.127

185

2 261 132

9

0.695

0.107

164

2 142 996

7

0.663

0.073

179

8 857 737

4

0.579

0.107

164

14 202 343

13

0.416

0.044

188

9 504 923

5

0.320

0.029

194

6 147 696

12

0.312

0.070

190

8 559 349

17

0.298

0.075

168

20 104 281

11

0.234

0.082

155

4 326 529

16

0.234

0.057

174

9 034 492

14

0.218

0.039

180

13 071 793

8

0.187

0.059

189

9 360 000

15

0.136

0.051

163

23 400 000

3

0.111

0.043

189

5 101 777

10

0.080

0.044

176

13 791 741

Total

0.425

0.067

176

186 973 410

 

Table F4. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 2071–2100 period. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned.

Zone

AAB

Fire occurrence
(n. 100 kha-1·yr-1)

Median Julian Day

Area (ha)

4

1.455

0.085

183

3 955 630

17

1.243

0.176

179

1 541 132

12

1.203

0.202

159

5 327 651

11

1.119

0.169

177

3 294 161

3

1.013

0.153

182

1 800 000

26

1.000

0.066

193

8 625 509

2

0.935

0.154

165

9 532 785

21

0.843

0.134

177

2 828 084

6

0.739

0.070

189

5 040 000

7

0.734

0.119

196

2 160 000

15

0.693

0.119

178

7 200 000

14

0.691

0.074

179

8 497 737

13

0.684

0.048

197

20 263 645

8

0.650

0.116

167

10 422 996

9

0.618

0.112

185

1 440 000

20

0.561

0.121

165

1 744 281

22

0.519

0.101

192

6 308 648

23

0.516

0.100

191

2 756 653

27

0.476

0.093

182

15 316 196

10

0.436

0.050

189

5 421 560

29

0.381

0.034

181

4 014 344

24

0.333

0.059

184

8 746 794

16

0.327

0.077

193

2 543 421

18

0.320

0.077

188

3 960 000

25

0.257

0.049

170

1 591 010

5

0.248

0.083

157

4 686 529

1

0.247

0.067

173

14 400 000

19

0.120

0.053

179

22 114 644

28

0.112

0.051

165

1 440 000

Total

0.572

0.086

181

186 973 410


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