Ecological Archives A023-046-A6
Yan Boulanger, Sylvie Gauthier, David R. Gray, Héloïse Le Goff, Patrick Lefort, Jacques Morissette. 2013. Fire regime zonation under current and future climate over eastern Canada. Ecological Applications 23:904–923. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/12-0698.1
Appendix F. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 1961–1990, 2011–2040, 2041–2070 and 2071–2100 periods.
Table F1. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 1961–1990 period as predicted by Random Forests models. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned. More detailed information about fire characteristics observed within zones is also given.
Zone |
Area (ha) |
AAB* |
Fire occurrence |
Median Julian Day* |
% area burned -lightning |
% of fire ≥ 5000 ha |
% of fire ≥ 25000 ha |
% of fire ≥ 50 000 ha |
2 |
3 845 569 |
1.953 |
0.079 |
177 |
94.1 |
41.8 |
23.9 |
16.4 |
1 |
1 502 846 |
1.646 |
0.185 |
180 |
87.7 |
29.9 |
14.9 |
6.0 |
21 |
2 880 000 |
1.025 |
0.068 |
184 |
88.2 |
42.2 |
15.6 |
4.4 |
11 |
7 461 728 |
0.871 |
0.142 |
173 |
90.1 |
23.2 |
6.1 |
2.7 |
5 |
7 200 000 |
0.658 |
0.083 |
174 |
88.4 |
28.8 |
10.0 |
3.8 |
17 |
5 040 000 |
0.604 |
0.106 |
171 |
97.6 |
24.4 |
4.4 |
1.5 |
12 |
9 720 000 |
0.301 |
0.058 |
170 |
65.2 |
14.2 |
4.5 |
2.6 |
10 |
1 546 417 |
0.222 |
0.086 |
166 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
16 |
36 607 678 |
0.128 |
0.030 |
173 |
62.7 |
18.4 |
2.9 |
0.4 |
3 |
4 503 924 |
0.115 |
0.034 |
147 |
23.1 |
6.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
13 |
38 740 137 |
0.109 |
0.021 |
183 |
93.8 |
15.7 |
4.7 |
2.6 |
19 |
21 006 982 |
0.075 |
0.028 |
167 |
23.8 |
3.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4 |
2 160 000 |
0.070 |
0.044 |
221 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
9 |
2 880 000 |
0.069 |
0.030 |
196 |
61.4 |
12.5 |
6.3 |
0.0 |
15 |
8 711 218 |
0.069 |
0.026 |
178 |
70.0 |
7.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6 |
11 198 472 |
0.065 |
0.020 |
193 |
93.4 |
8.3 |
2.1 |
0.0 |
18 |
4 369 261 |
0.051 |
0.029 |
161 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7 |
8 524 814 |
0.035 |
0.019 |
160 |
47.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
8 |
4 202 506 |
0.028 |
0.006 |
207 |
87.7 |
20.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
14 |
2 516 348 |
0.027 |
0.012 |
149 |
65.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
20 |
2 355 511 |
0.022 |
0.004 |
198 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Total |
186 973 410 |
0.235 |
0.039 |
176 |
79.0 |
18.8 |
5.5 |
2.4 |
* Predicted values according to the Random Forests models.
Table F2. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 2011–2040 period. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned.
Zone |
AAB |
Fire occurrence |
Median Julian Day |
Area (ha) |
2 |
1.469 |
0.077 |
179 |
3 054 220 |
6 |
1.353 |
0.167 |
170 |
3 396 303 |
14 |
0.864 |
0.057 |
186 |
7 366 919 |
1 |
0.667 |
0.106 |
173 |
8 556 962 |
9 |
0.548 |
0.067 |
178 |
10 657 737 |
15 |
0.385 |
0.071 |
168 |
9 360 000 |
5 |
0.329 |
0.041 |
187 |
8 136 026 |
20 |
0.247 |
0.046 |
171 |
7 200 000 |
17 |
0.172 |
0.023 |
192 |
17990 126 |
23 |
0.172 |
0.050 |
166 |
20 333 289 |
4 |
0.171 |
0.065 |
155 |
3 933 698 |
16 |
0.161 |
0.053 |
181 |
2 536 237 |
22 |
0.149 |
0.054 |
183 |
1 609 283 |
8 |
0.142 |
0.031 |
191 |
10 729 780 |
21 |
0.129 |
0.030 |
181 |
18 274 684 |
3 |
0.120 |
0.026 |
178 |
14 678 042 |
7 |
0.107 |
0.015 |
194 |
6 453 397 |
11 |
0.102 |
0.053 |
158 |
3 302 593 |
10 |
0.096 |
0.055 |
200 |
3 240 000 |
19 |
0.090 |
0.027 |
169 |
16 851 677 |
13 |
0.084 |
0.036 |
187 |
3 960 000 |
18 |
0.065 |
0.025 |
166 |
3 571 697 |
12 |
0.049 |
0.029 |
169 |
1 780 740 |
Total |
0.279 |
0.046 |
178 |
186 973 410 |
Table F3. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 2041–2070 period. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned.
Zone |
AAB |
Fire occurrence |
Median Julian Day |
Area (ha) |
2 |
1.451 |
0.079 |
178 |
4 236 797 |
1 |
1.125 |
0.181 |
175 |
3 676 718 |
20 |
1.030 |
0.149 |
168 |
7 332 920 |
19 |
0.934 |
0.063 |
190 |
5 104 342 |
18 |
0.745 |
0.042 |
188 |
16 755 844 |
6 |
0.710 |
0.127 |
185 |
2 261 132 |
9 |
0.695 |
0.107 |
164 |
2 142 996 |
7 |
0.663 |
0.073 |
179 |
8 857 737 |
4 |
0.579 |
0.107 |
164 |
14 202 343 |
13 |
0.416 |
0.044 |
188 |
9 504 923 |
5 |
0.320 |
0.029 |
194 |
6 147 696 |
12 |
0.312 |
0.070 |
190 |
8 559 349 |
17 |
0.298 |
0.075 |
168 |
20 104 281 |
11 |
0.234 |
0.082 |
155 |
4 326 529 |
16 |
0.234 |
0.057 |
174 |
9 034 492 |
14 |
0.218 |
0.039 |
180 |
13 071 793 |
8 |
0.187 |
0.059 |
189 |
9 360 000 |
15 |
0.136 |
0.051 |
163 |
23 400 000 |
3 |
0.111 |
0.043 |
189 |
5 101 777 |
10 |
0.080 |
0.044 |
176 |
13 791 741 |
Total |
0.425 |
0.067 |
176 |
186 973 410 |
Table F4. Fire regime characteristics for HFR zones produced for the 2071–2100 period. Zones are listed by decreasing annual area burned.
Zone |
AAB |
Fire occurrence |
Median Julian Day |
Area (ha) |
4 |
1.455 |
0.085 |
183 |
3 955 630 |
17 |
1.243 |
0.176 |
179 |
1 541 132 |
12 |
1.203 |
0.202 |
159 |
5 327 651 |
11 |
1.119 |
0.169 |
177 |
3 294 161 |
3 |
1.013 |
0.153 |
182 |
1 800 000 |
26 |
1.000 |
0.066 |
193 |
8 625 509 |
2 |
0.935 |
0.154 |
165 |
9 532 785 |
21 |
0.843 |
0.134 |
177 |
2 828 084 |
6 |
0.739 |
0.070 |
189 |
5 040 000 |
7 |
0.734 |
0.119 |
196 |
2 160 000 |
15 |
0.693 |
0.119 |
178 |
7 200 000 |
14 |
0.691 |
0.074 |
179 |
8 497 737 |
13 |
0.684 |
0.048 |
197 |
20 263 645 |
8 |
0.650 |
0.116 |
167 |
10 422 996 |
9 |
0.618 |
0.112 |
185 |
1 440 000 |
20 |
0.561 |
0.121 |
165 |
1 744 281 |
22 |
0.519 |
0.101 |
192 |
6 308 648 |
23 |
0.516 |
0.100 |
191 |
2 756 653 |
27 |
0.476 |
0.093 |
182 |
15 316 196 |
10 |
0.436 |
0.050 |
189 |
5 421 560 |
29 |
0.381 |
0.034 |
181 |
4 014 344 |
24 |
0.333 |
0.059 |
184 |
8 746 794 |
16 |
0.327 |
0.077 |
193 |
2 543 421 |
18 |
0.320 |
0.077 |
188 |
3 960 000 |
25 |
0.257 |
0.049 |
170 |
1 591 010 |
5 |
0.248 |
0.083 |
157 |
4 686 529 |
1 |
0.247 |
0.067 |
173 |
14 400 000 |
19 |
0.120 |
0.053 |
179 |
22 114 644 |
28 |
0.112 |
0.051 |
165 |
1 440 000 |
Total |
0.572 |
0.086 |
181 |
186 973 410 |