Ecological Archives E086-157-A2

Stephanie Jenouvrier, Christophe Barbraud, and Henri Weimerskirch. 2005. Long-term contrasted responses to climate of two Antarctic seabirds species. Ecology 86:2889–2903.

Appendix B. Goodness-of-fit tests.

TABLE B1. Goodness-of-fit tests for the modeling of capture and survival probabilities for adult Snow Petrels (1968–2001) and Emperor Penguins (1971–2002) at Dumont d’Urville. t pt is the CJS model where survival probability () and capture probability (p) varied with time (t). t pt*m is the trap dependent model where capture probability varied over time and differed between animal captured at the previous occasion and those not captured then.
a2*t pt is the transient model where survival probability varied over time and differed between newly marked and previously marked animals.

 

SNOW PETREL
 

Male

Female

GOF

3SR

3SM

2CT

2CL

t pt

t pt*m

a2*t pt

3SR

3SM

2CT

2CL

t pt

t pt*m

a2*t pt

DAMIER COLONY

df

20

26

28

22

96

68

76

19

24

28

22

93

65

74

32

15

48

19

114

66

82

11

9.5

39

16

75.5

36.5

64.5

P

0.04

0.95

0.01

0.65

0.10

0.556

0.299

0.91

0.99

0.09

0.82

0.907

0.998

0.777

HYBRIDE COLONY

df

25

29

30

29

113

83

88

27

31

32

31

121

89

94

13

9

58

20

100

42

87

9

21

60

13

103

43

94

P

0.98

0.99

0.001

0.9

0.804

1.000

0.510

0.99

0.91

0.002

0.99

0.88

1

0.481

PYLONE COLONY

df

32

31

32

32

127

95

95

30

33

32

34

129

97

99

10

35

93

51

189

96

179

21

42

68

27

158

90

137

P

0.99

0.29

<0.001

0.02

<0.001

0.452

<0.001

0.87

0.13

<0.001

0.81

0.04

0.666

0.007

sum over groups

df

 

336

246

259

 

343

251

267

 

403

204

348

 

337

170

295.5

P

 

0.007

0.976

0.000

 

0.581

1

0.111

 

EMPEROR PENGUIN
 

Male

Female

GOF

3SR

3SM

2CT

2CL

t pt

t pt*m

a2*t pt

3SR

3SM

2CT

2CL

t pt

t pt*m

a2*t pt

df

23

18

27

22

90

63

67

22

14

27

17

80

53

58

19

14

112

40

185

73

167

22

9

148

24

204

56

182

P

0.714

0.721

<0.001

0.010

<0.001

0.182

<0.001

0.449

0.799

<0.001

0.116

<0.001

0.370

<0.001



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